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Predictions That Will Define the Industrial AI Sector in 2026

Predictions That Will Define the Industrial AI Sector in 2026

    Published at: 1/20/2026, 11:39:00 AM

    Girish Rishi

    Chairman of the Board of Directors, Cognite

    Chief Executive Officer, Cognite

    Artificial intelligence has moved past the hype cycle in industrial and enterprise environments. The question is no longer if AI will transform operations, but how organizations will extract durable, measurable value from it. As we look ahead to 2026, several clear trends are emerging that will separate leaders from laggards, particularly in how AI is deployed, governed, and integrated into day-to-day operations.

    In the coming years, success will hinge on foundational readiness, autonomous execution, platform disruption, and the ability to blend human expertise with machine intelligence. Here are four predictions that I believe will shape the next phase of industrial AI.

    1. AI Will Deliver Billions in Value but Only for Those With the Right Foundations

    By 2026, AI will be responsible for billions of dollars in measurable operational value across industries such as manufacturing, energy, utilities, and transportation. However, that value will not be evenly distributed.

    Organizations that have invested in robust data infrastructure, particularly the ability to contextualize and operationalize all raw data data, will charge ahead. Those that have rushed to deploy AI models without addressing fragmented systems, poor data quality, or siloed information will struggle to show meaningful returns.

    This gap will become especially visible at the board level. AI mandates will shift decisively from "deploy AI" to "prove ROI." Executives will demand clear links between AI investments and outcomes such as uptime, throughput, safety, energy efficiency, and cost reduction. As a result, companies will be forced to confront a hard truth: AI is only as effective as the data foundation beneath it.

    In 2026, the winners will be those that treat data contextualization and infrastructure modernization not as IT projects, but as strategic business enablers.

    2. Agentic AI Will Push Industrial Operations Toward Autonomy

    Another major inflection point will be the rise of agentic AI in industrial environments. While today's AI systems largely focus on analysis and recommendations, 2026 will mark the year AI agents begin to act.

    These agents won't just surface insights, they will autonomously diagnose equipment failures, initiate corrective actions, generate work orders, and coordinate responses across multiple facilities. Instead of alerting a human to a problem and waiting for intervention, AI systems will increasingly perform actions to augment the human.

    This shift represents the end of purely reactive operations. Proactive, AI-powered maintenance and optimization will become the norm. Facilities will move from responding to incidents after the fact to preventing them before they occur, fundamentally changing how reliability and performance are managed.

    This autonomy will be constrained and governed, with humans providing oversight. As we move into the future, the operational tempo will accelerate dramatically as AI takes on the burden of routine decision-making at machine speed.

    3. The Industrial Tech Stack Will Be Disrupted and New Leaders Will Emerge

    The rise of AI-native architectures will also disrupt the traditional industrial technology stack. Legacy IoT platforms and standalone point solutions will increasingly fall short of delivering real operational value.

    Taking their place will be integrated, AI-native platforms which will combine data ingestion, contextualization, analytics, and action, all wrapped up into a unified environment. These solutions will be built from the ground up to support advanced AI workflows, agent-based systems, and cross-domain optimization.

    This shift will reset the competitive landscape. Some long-established vendors will struggle to adapt, while new leaders will emerge, potentially becoming the "new Magnificent 7" of industrial AI. The defining factor will not be the volume of data collected, but the ability to transform that data into timely, trusted decisions at scale.

    For enterprise buyers, this will mean reevaluating long-held vendor relationships and technology assumptions in favor of platforms that can support the next decade of AI-driven operations.

    4. Human-AI Collaboration Will Become the True Competitive Advantage

    Despite fears that AI will replace human workers, the most successful organizations in 2026 will prove the opposite. In an era of macroeconomic volatility and operational uncertainty, competitive advantage will come from effective human-AI collaboration.

    Companies that deploy AI to augment frontline workers, engineers, and operators, rather than sideline them, will unlock higher levels of agility and resilience. AI will handle complexity, pattern recognition, and speed, while humans provide contextual judgment, creativity, and domain expertise.

    The winning formula will combine revolutionary compute power with deep operational knowledge and human intuition. Training, change management, and trust will become just as important as model accuracy. Organizations that invest in empowering their people alongside their technology will outperform those that treat AI as a purely technical solution.

    Looking Ahead

    By 2026, AI will no longer be a differentiator on its own. How it is implemented, governed, and integrated into operations will determine whether it becomes a source of sustained value or sunk cost.

    The next era of industrial AI will belong to organizations that get the fundamentals right, embrace autonomous systems responsibly, adopt AI-native platforms, and recognize that the future of work is not human versus machine but human and machine, working together.

    This article was originally published Friday, January 09, 2026 on VMblog.com

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